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After back-to-back Team Penske wins, NASCAR heads to ISM Raceway’s one-mile flat trail in Phoenix for the fourth race of the season.

Brad Keselowski and Joey Logano are driving streaks of eight top-12 finishes dating back to last season, but both motorists are going to take a backseat to the current dominating performances of Kevin Harvick and Kyle Busch in Phoenix.

Harvick (9/4) and Busch (7/2) have the shortest chances to win Sunday’s TicketGuardian 500 and both won at the track last season. This weekend, even when Harvick were to triumph, he’d join an elite team, becoming only the sixth driver in series history to win 10 or more Cup Series races at a single track; joining Richard Petty, Darrell Waltrip, Jimmie Johnson, David Pearson and Dale Earnhardt.

MORE: Odds

In three of the last four Phoenix races, Busch has led 359 laps, including 117 in his win during last season’s playoffs — the first under the new configuration of this track.

Phoenix’s monitor is similar to Richmond and New Hampshire and it is no surprise both Harvick and Busch have had similar success at these racks. Busch has won the previous two races at Richmond and the fall race in New Hampshire of 2017. Harvick won the most-recent race at New Hampshire and has finished in the top five in five of the past six races at Richmond.

But unlike in those preceding races, all motorists will use a new automobile setup implemented by NASCAR, another from what we watched the last two weeks at Atlanta and Las Vegas. Teams will use a tapered spacer — and no ducts that are aero — for the first time this season. They’ll use a 750-horsepower engine at Phoenix rather than their engine at Vegas. NASCAR expects to see a well-handling car. The package that is new could close the gap Harvick and Busch have experienced on the field.

So much in 2 races with the slightly differing rules bundle of NASCAR, Ford contains five consecutive period wins and has led 65 percent of the laps. Harvick’s teammate, ford driver Aric Almirola, will soon be a sleeper driver to observe this weekend. He was third at New Hampshire’s similar design last season, fifth at Richmond and fourth last year’s fall race in Phoenix. Almirola is 20/1 to win on Sunday and we enjoy him .

MORE: The way to Succeed betting on NASCAR at 2019

Curious to win 2019 TicketGuardian 500 in Phoenix

Odds provided by Westgate LV SuperBook

Kevin HARVICK 9/4
Kyle BUSCH 7/2
Brad KESELOWSKI 7/1
Joey LOGANO 8/1
Martin TRUEX JR 10/1
Chase ELLIOTT 10/1
Denny HAMLIN 15/1
Kyle LARSON 20/1
Aric ALMIROLA 20/1
Clint BOWYER 25/1
Erik JONES 25/1
Kurt BUSCH 30/1
Ryan BLANEY 30/1
Jimmie JOHNSON 50/1
Austin DILLON 50/1
Alex BOWMAN 50/1
Ricky STENHOUSE JR 50/1
Daniel SUAREZ 60/1
Ryan NEWMAN 100/1
William BYRON 100/1
Daniel HEMRIC 100/1
Paul MENARD 100/1
Ryan PREECE 200/1
Chris BUESCHER 200/1
Matt DIBENEDETTO 200/1
Darrell WALLACE JR 500/1
Ty DILLON 1000/1
Michael McDOWELL 2000/1
David RAGAN 2000/1
FIELD (all others) 500/1

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