Logano, Keselowski Share Best Odds to Win Coke Zero Sugar 400
- 2019-07-24
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Following a high-speed, rain-delayed race at Chicagoland Speedway, the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series continues its pedal to the metal Strategy at Daytona International Speedway this Saturday night in the Coke Zero Sugar 400.
Alex Bowman earned his first Cup series victory last week and he has +1800 odds to repeat, but it is Joey Logano and Brad Keselowski with chances of +700 who top the oddsboard.
Intertops has Logano and Keselowski as the favorites at +700 followed closely by Denny Hamlin at +1000, Kyle Busch, Chase Elliott and Kevin Harvick in +1100 and Kurt Busch, Ryan Blaney and Clint Bowyer in +1400 to round out the leading drivers on the oddsboard.
Standout Stats
Ford has won five of the last 10 races in Daytona and Toyota has won three runnings during that interval, including the last two in a row, while Chevrolet has just two victories.
There hasn’t been a repeat winner in this course since Jimmie Johnson did so in the 2 races at 2013. Denny Hamlin looks to become the latest driver to do it won the Daytona 500 in February.
Just once over the last 17 races in Daytona has the winner started on the pole which was Dale Earnhardt Jr. at 2015. The typical starting position for the driver who transported the checkered flag during the interval was 12.53.
Alex Bowman (+1800) picked up the first checkered flag of his Cup series livelihood a week at Chicagoland and has had great qualifying speed at Daytona recently. He’s begun first or second in each of the past three runnings at this track, but has completed 10th or worse, so until he will find the exact same speed in the race, I’ll stay away.
Logano (+700) has had greater success throughout the Daytona 500 than he has in the midseason race in this track. From the 500, he has an average finish position of 13.28, including winning in 2015, but he has an average finish position of 21.2 in the July race and has dropped in each of the last two runnings.
Keselowski (+700) has experienced a string of terrible luck at Daytona recently, having dropped in four of the last five races but six races back in this track, he drove to victory lane. He has five wins at Talladega, another restrictor-plate track, so he knows the way to compete in those races. Look for him to be in the search Saturday night.
Kyle Busch (+1100) not as a favorite sounds like an automatic bet, but Daytona has become the better of him most of his career. Busch won the July race in 2008, marking the only time he’s forced to victory lane at Daytona, and he has just three top-five endings there on the last 14 races, but he was the most runner-up in this year’s Daytona 500.
I have been fading Kevin Harvick (+1100) all season long as he hadn’t shown signs of his former leading self before last week. He looked powerful at Chicagoland, leading 132 of the 267 laps, but ultimately finished 14th. Harvick has dropped in four of those five races in Daytona since switching to Ford at 2017 but he led multiple laps at three of those runnings. Assuming that he keeps his nose clean, this may be a good spot for Harvick.
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