BIG MARLEY’S UFC ON ESPN 3 DRAFTKINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN
- 2019-07-21
- Uncategorized
- Posted by admin
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This weekend, we have a 12-fight card in Minnesota. DraftKings has some strong contests for us to acquire a great deal of money from this week. The most important GPP is a $15 buy and $25k goes to 1st place with a total of $130k being paid out. In addition they have a Qualifier only competition for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they’ll compete for a $50k first place price and that $175k will probably be spread out between all 100 entries that match. There are only 14 more chairs remaining so that there won’t be much more time to qualify if you’re trying to. I will attempt to receive my 3rd chair this week to maximum it if I could. Those Qualifier only contests can be real bankroll suckers, so be cautious chasing those overly hard. I’ll probably stick to the very best GPP this week and then throw a small number of entries at that $25k decoration, then I will probably have a few shots at the Q. I will also be publishing H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs throughout the week to receive a fantastic amount of drama into cash games.
With that said, let us get to a few plays I like this week along with my fade of the week:
Money Game play of the week — Jared Gordon — $9,200
I enjoy Gordon to get the win this weekend and he will be a money match play of mine personally. There are far better struggles to target if we are on the lookout for 1st round knockouts but I will be focusing more on people in GPPs. I like the floor and the ceiling of Gordon here and that’s why he’s the money play of the week. I don’t think Moret has the power to actually examine the chin of Gordon’s that has seemed to be his biggest weakness recently. With the speed Gordon sets I think he has 100+ upside into a decision win and I don’t see him getting finished here so he should have a solid floor. I believe his floor in a win is probably 80+ also that is completely fine for cash games. This is a tricky feeble, however this is my personal favorite money game spot of this week.
GPP play of the week — Francis Ngannou — $8,800
I needed to go with Ngannou here. When he wins it is most likely that a 1st round knockout. That is +100 about the gambling line. If he receives that 1st round KO, he then scores over 100 DK points and in his 8.8k salary which will place him on the 25k lineup. He will be quite chalky this week though so be sure to load up on him if you are multi-entering if you would like to get leverage over the area. I do think JDS is a live underdog here as well, so I will be targeting both sides of this fight, but I really do observe 100-105 DK points coming from Ngannou here which can beat a lot of the fighters priced over him.
Underdog drama of the week — Junior Albini — $8,000
I truly don’t love this card this week since I am not choosing any actual underdogs with any confidence. Albini is the only man who would be considered an underdog that I think will win and I did pick him outright and put 1u on him as my free bet of the week. On DraftKings we’re getting him for $200 less than Greene but I would not be shocked if Albini was the favorite on the betting line going into the conflicts. With these men being Heavyweights, it does not take much to get a knockout and should Albini can do that at $8k he can give me a run in the perfect lineup.
Fade of the week — Emily Whitmire $8,500
I faded Whitmire in her preceding fight also and she burnt me scoring a 1st round entry. I’m going back into the fade here though and hoping the same doesn’t happen. On a card where I am picking basically every favorite, I would rather pick the fighters with 1st round knockout upside over Whitmire at her 8.5k price tag. I am not sure that moving into the floor is in her very best interest in this struggle and if she remains standing I don’t see her paying off worth in a triumph. If I had been making 150 lineups this week then I’d be taking some shots on Whitmire, but I will likely only make ~20 and she won’t make my player pool with that many lineups.
Thanks for reading this and great luck this weekend! If you Want my full-card breakdown where I breakdown every struggle about the card and give my complete DraftKings evaluation, as well as all of my pick predictions, you’ll find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are available at that link as well. I’m 83-52 to get +251.89un (+$25,421) since May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)
https://mmaoddsbreaker.com/premium-picks/
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